Easy money isn’t so easy

I am working on a few posts, but I wanted to get this article up for people to see. Below is an article titled: Nothing Quick About Getting Rich With Real Estate. The author (MP Dunleavey) looks at the Real Estate seminars and for the “1000 new millionaires” that ‘were’ created. Some really good insight in this column.

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Nothing quick about getting rich with real estate

A real estate seminar promoter promised to create 1,000 new millionaires, but so far none are in sight. See what happened to his believers.

By MP Dunleavey

Like a lot of people these days, Marjorie Stark wouldn’t mind making a little extra cash — or even a lot of it. So when she attended an information session for Robert Allen’s “Creating Wealth Through Real Estate” seminar in New York, she was more than willing to pay $2,495 for Allen’s intensive three-day course on real estate investment strategies.

Concerned about not having enough to retire on and wanting to pass along some wealth to her kids some day, the 62-year-old New York City educator said to me then: “I am convinced that real estate is the way to go.”

I was there that night, too, and I could scarcely resist the mouth-watering idea that those three days could make me rich. As the guy leading the session announced: “We are on a mission to create 1,000 new millionaires in 12 months!”

A year later, Stark isn’t any closer to being a millionaire. She hasn’t bought any new property nor made any money on real estate — except for the rental property she owned before and bought “the hard way” (with cash and bank loans). She even admitted that when she saw Robert Allen’s newest venture was in vitamin sales, “I thought I was going to puke. I was very disillusioned.”

But Stark is undaunted and still believes there are fortunes to be made in real estate. She just enrolled in another seminar at a local college on how to buy distressed and foreclosed properties, she says. “With a full-time job, I’m not sure how I can do it, but, boy, am I itching to go!”
There’s something about real estate
Stark is not alone. The National Association of Realtors doesn’t track independent real estate investment seminars or how many people attend them, but their allure springs eternal like the get-rich hopes of those who sign up for these courses.

The odds of winning are not high. Robert Allen’s “1,000 new millionaires” never materialized in the last year, for example. Allen operates what’s called The Enlightened Millionaire Institute. Its Millionaire Hall of Fame Web site lists only 50 millionaires (defined as having generated gains averaging $2.6 million). A spokesman admits not all of them exclusively used the Allen method of real estate investing. (And, in a disclaimer, the site notes, “No information has been verified or authenticated. Results vary. All successes are subject to one’s own knowledge and effort.”)

Despite all that, the Robert Allen Institute still conducts two or three seminars a week in different cities and says it reaches about 1,200 people each month. (That’s 1,200 x $2,495 = $2.99 million a month, in case you left your calculator home.)

Allen is just one of dozens of artful salesmen who preach fancy financing, “no money down,” flipping properties quickly and numerous other strategies to get rich buying and selling real estate.

And the question all this preaching raises is, do these investment techniques, systems and strategies really work? Can they actually make you rich? After all, would people keep trying it if it couldn’t be done? Or are hundreds of thousands of people simply seduced by expert sales pitches and swindled out of hundreds and sometimes thousands of dollars?
Weighing the evidence
Like so many things in life, it depends on whom you talk to. Or whose Web site you believe.

John T. Reed is a real estate investment coach himself, based in Alamo, Calif. He’s also a self-appointed watchdog for this industry. He keeps the most exhaustive list I could find of dozens of so-called gurus, along with reviews of their techniques, books and other products.

Although Reed’s Web site, where you also can buy his various books for $29.95, reads a bit like he has a chip — a very big chip — on his shoulder, he was recommended by the National Association of Realtors as a serious investigator in the industry. Not that he’s against real estate investment, or some of the reputable folks who teach their own hard-won wisdom. But those have been degraded by “the endless parade of B.S. artists coming into the real-estate-investment-advice field. It is an embarrassment to the good people in the business.”

And many people believe his grousing is justified. Norm Bour is the host of “The Real Estate and Finance Hour” on KLSX in Los Angeles, a top talk radio station. He’s worked in real estate as a mortgage lender and describes the proliferation of real estate seminars, workshops and scams as “a major pet peeve.”

“Case in point: foreclosures,” he begins. “Real estate in California has gone berserk in the last few years so people are looking for foreclosures to buy.” The idea being you can buy a foreclosure more cheaply than other property and potentially gain a windfall when you sell it.

But, as Bour notes, “You can count on one hand how many actual foreclosure properties there are (for sale). Yet there’s no lacking of people who are offering real estate foreclosure lists.” One might pay $35 for a list, but it may be peppered with properties in other states. “It’s not fraudulent, but it’s certainly deceptive.”
The shady gray area
Well-known personalities like Robert Allen or Carleton Sheets, who have extensive marketing organizations, are a little different, Bour says. “They offer some very solid basics, but the number of people who can do what they propose is very small — because they make it sound so much easier than it is.”

That’s what Josh Kelinson, a freelance advertising consultant in New York, found when he and two friends tried to follow the Sheets method.

The three pals pooled their resources to master what Sheets preached, which is similar to the Allen method: buying property with no money down (or some other creative financing method) and flipping later on for a profit.

One of his pals took the seminar, another bought the 8-CD set, etc. Thus inspired and determined, they tried to buy a building suitable for five apartments in Massachusetts, not far from where they’d all grown up.

Kelinson says the actual experience of trying to buy an income property proved eye-opening. “We spent a ton — and I mean a ton — of time on it. There was the approval process, the paperwork, getting lawyers.” It took two to three hours a day, not including weekend travel time and unexpected snafus. “I found it impossible to do with a full-time job.”

Ultimately, the project bogged down because of a major zoning problem. The building was in an area zoned for three apartments, and the building had been illegally converted into five apartments. The zoning authorities refused to grant an exception to the rules. Then, the building owner refused to return their deposit. The three were out $35,000.

Still, Kelinson doesn’t feel misled or duped by the Sheets method, and he and his friends are sure they can make it work with their next deal. “There are a lot of other things out there that are scams, but this definitely can be done,” he says.

But investing in real estate is not nearly as easy as it looks, he says. “Make sure you have the time to do it,” he advises wannabe investors. “If you don’t allocate the time, it probably won’t work.”
We want the system to work so much
And therein lies the fundamental appeal, and ultimate trouble, of get-rich-quick (GRQ) strategies. “It’s the jackpot mentality,” says psychologist Patricia Farrell, author of “How to Be Your Own Therapist.” Just like the schmoe who buys a winning lottery ticket — every once in a while, someone, somewhere really does use these edgy real estate investment techniques to make millions.

“It’s not the principles that are flawed,” says Bour. “It’s the simplicity and ease that are overstated.”

Most of these courses are so seductive, Farrell says, because they operate according to a tried-and-true principle of behavioral psychology called the variable ratio reinforcement schedule. Basically, people (and rats) will persist in doing something, even with little or no return, if they are given the tiniest bit of hope of a coming reward.

So the fact that some people do succeed at “no money down” strategies acts like a financial aphrodisiac for all those watching, waiting, hoping.

So could the Starks and Kelinsons of the world be next? Is it just a matter of reapplying the Robert Allen/Carleton Sheets techniques until they work?

Mark Wilson, one of the millionaires created by the Robert Allen Institute, would say yes. The president of Southeastern Housing Partners in Hickory, N.C., Wilson started investing in real estate in the late 1980s. “We were doing OK, but nothing to write home about.”

Then in 2002, after hearing Robert Allen speak, Wilson paid $5,000 to join a one-year intensive coaching course. It changed his life, his business and, above all, his cash flow, he says. Although he’d read Allen’s “No Money Down” in college, the seminar focused more on another Allen signature strategy: developing multiple streams of income (from rentals, rehabs, buying foreclosed properties, commercial properties, etc.). Now, Wilson says, he’s about to close a deal that will put his net worth at $8.5 million.

He believes anyone can make big bucks from real estate if he or she is willing to take action — not just sit on the sofa listening to tapes.

Before you sign up, count to a million

Of course, Wilson admits that it was easier for him to take the Robert Allen techniques and run with them. He had a lot of experience in real estate already. Most people, Bour points out, don’t have those skills. And few people have the time or the diligence to acquire them. (”Some skill sets you need to have — and the course can’t teach it to you,” agrees Kelinson.)

Bob Underwood of Stafford, Va., is one person who can testify to the fact that investing in real estate is not for those steeped in fantasy. Underwood bought an e-book from yet another author and teacher by the name of Joe Crump.

Crump, who hails from Indianapolis, teaches a no-money-down technique, but he told me that he does it “legally and ethically.”

Underwood, 43, has a wife and family and a full-time job — and no time to muck about in real estate with no return. He paid Crump about $500 for one-on-one coaching in 2002 and, after a rocky start, has managed to buy three properties in the last two years. He’s sold one of them, made about $10,000, after taxes, in the process and is hoping to rehab and sell another this year.

One deal Underwood did alone, the next was with a partner. He says there’s no cookie-cutter method that works. What works, he says, is getting out into the market, investing the time to learn about the business, not neglecting your wife and kids (or day job), learning from your mistakes, making friends and getting advice from others as you move forward. Slowly, steadily and not particularly wealthily.

“Remember, you have to pay capital gains (taxes)” on the profits, he says, “so it’s not a lot of money in the end.”

But that, of course, isn’t what people want to hear. “People are lead to believe that all you need is the right plan and you’ll make a million, that if you use this system you’ll be rewarded,” says psychologist Farrell. “They don’t realize that the possibility of getting that big reward is so remote.”

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I bet a lot of people wish they saw this article BEFORE they plucked down a few grand for one, two, or several of these courses.

I will have more posts up as the week goes on. Thanks for your continued support!!

Stay tuned…

SoCalMtgGuy

18 Responses to “Easy money isn’t so easy”

  1. jmf
    October 3rd, 2006 03:14
    1

    hello from germany,

    Then in 2002, after hearing Robert Allen speak, Wilson paid $5,000 to join a one-year intensive coaching course. It changed his life, his business and, above all, his cash flow, he says. Although he’d read Allen’s “No Money Down” in college, the seminar focused more on another Allen signature strategy: developing multiple streams of income (from rentals, rehabs, buying foreclosed properties, commercial properties, etc.). Now, Wilson says, he’s about to close a deal that will put his net worth at $8.5 million.

    it was just luck and a matter of timing. like you bought jdsu on margin 1997……maybe he has put his “net worth” up in another investment that he bought the last year. i´m sure in 3 year much of this will be gone…

    here is a story of a flip that has gone bad
    http://immobilienblasen.blogspot.com/2006/10/flippers-in-trouble.html

    http://immobilienblasen.blogspot.com/

  2. Lou Minatti
    October 3rd, 2006 04:28
    2

    SoCal and readers, over on eBay there are hordes of desperate “investors” selling their Carleton Sheets course materials.

    http://search.ebay.com/carleton-sheets_W0QQfkrZ1QQfromZR8

    You can learn to “invest” in real estate the Carleton Sheets way for just $3.55. Current bid.

  3. bw
    October 3rd, 2006 06:51
    3

    Looks like this ‘investor’ can’t even ‘give away’ all his/her Carleton Sheets stuff for one cent!

    [Link]

  4. SunsetBeachGuy
    October 3rd, 2006 07:48
    4

    I was going to post a link to John T. Reed’s website but the author already mentioned him.

    John T. Reed’s site is worth a read, particularly the Kiyosaki pages.

  5. ocjohn
    October 3rd, 2006 10:37
    5

    I really hate the lies from the Missed Fortune crowd. I don’t think there is any laws against lying, but you can’t give fradulent investment advice. There aren’t enought prosecutors to put these scamsters out of business.

    You may have seen the ads in the paper saying free up the money in your house or stop wasting money in your 401(k) or IRA. Lies, lies, and lies. There isn’t anything that beats the tax savings of a 401(k) or similar plan. While interest rate arbitrage can work, Missed Fortune uses the razzle dazzle to confuse the concept to get you to fully leverage your house (make the loan officer money) and buy a fixed equity annuity (make the insurance salesman money). If you search for Missed Fortune seminars, you see it is just an insurance pitch. Too bad John T Reed doesn’t have the author reviewed on his guru, but Scott Burns has debunked his methods in the Dallas News.

  6. Ken
    October 3rd, 2006 13:15
    6

    “…the endless parade of B.S. artists coming into the real-estate-investment-advice field. It is an embarrassment to the good people in the business.”

    Who might that be?

  7. threadkilla
    October 3rd, 2006 14:58
    7

    what kills me in that story is the only people that seem to have “done it right” have so since 2002 or put another way during the biggest run up in RE prices in history.

    i wish we could check back with a few of those when the down side of RE really starts to surface.

  8. MCat
    October 4th, 2006 06:24
    8

    I don’t have any problem with people being as stupid and greedy as they want to be. I just don’t want to have my tax money used to bail them out of their stupidity. I’ve made some stupid financial decisions in my life, and I learned the hard way what not to do. If there is no penalty for FB’s and GF’s, they will never learn.

  9. PermanentlyHighPlateau
    October 4th, 2006 12:05
    9

    A lovely graph depicting home prices for the last 100 years:

    http://graphics10.nytimes.com/images/2006/08/26/weekinreview/27leon_graph2.large.gif

  10. Dogma
    October 4th, 2006 14:27
    10

    “Theres a sucker born every minute”
    ~David Hannum (NOT P.T. Barnum)

    I have zero pity for the suckers that fall for these GRQ schemes. I am beginning to buy distressed property in Nevada from a lot of other “suckers” who thought they too, could GRQ by flipping property. It’s about 60¢ on the current valuation dollar now (at least the most I will pay), and headed down. Since Americans have all become consumer-bots (A T.V. advertising driven culture that thinks materialism equates to happiness, and therefore consume for the sake of consumption), I see no end to GRQ seminars. MML is exactly the same. Stupid people get what they deserve. Thank goodness for a steady supply of suckers.

    drbrightside - Your link is as misleading as the rest of the GRQ spin-doctors. The economy is bright? ONLY for the wealthy, ruling class. But that’s ALWAYS been the case, hasn’t it?

    See: http://www.cnn.com/2006/US/10/03/Dobbs.Oct4/index.html
    for a dose of reality.

  11. bairen
    October 8th, 2006 06:03
    11

    “Ultimately, the project bogged down because of a major zoning problem. The building was in an area zoned for three apartments, and the building had been illegally converted into five apartments. The zoning authorities refused to grant an exception to the rules. Then, the building owner refused to return their deposit. The three were out $35,000.”

    Didn’t these guys ever hear that deposits should go into escrow? Wouldn’t that be mentioned on a decent real estate course?

  12. theotherside
    October 8th, 2006 10:23
    12

    Here in my state all mortgage data are available online for free. I used Ziprealty to get more info on the sellers and the houses. It will have been great to have ZipRealty put the mortgage info online too.

    A TALE OF 3 TYPICAL SELLERS IN MY ZIPCODE.

    A: Candidate Bubble Sitter ===>
    House bought for $500,000 in early 2004. $100,000 down. On the market since late 2005. Listed just below $900,000. Price reduced many times, now at $800,000. Motivated seller. Mortgage is ARM 4.5% fixed 5 year (until 2009)

    My take == > Candidate “bubble sitters”. They are trying to unload but they are reluctant to accept the fact that their equity is already gone (with the wind)!!!.

    B: King of FBs ===>
    House bought for $650,000 in early 2004. $0 down. On the market since late 2005. House sitting empty. Listed just below $1,000,000. Price never reduced. Refinanced in 2005 and took about $300,000 out. “Own” at least 2 other houses all 100% financed. Every drop of equity HELOC’d out. Refinanced out of first Mortgage due to reset in early 2006 and now on a 2/1 ARM 7.5% fixed until 2009.

    My take == > King of FBs. HELOC’d out a lot of cash on top of the no-money-down mortgages. They seem to have a lot of borrowed cash available. Have already refinanced (but into another crazy 2/1 interest only ARM…the FB’s trademark loan!!!). The result is that their price is ridiculously high and they have no room to reduce… Foreclosure in 2 years or when they run out of loan money to pay the bills!!!

    C: RE investor/gambler ===>
    House bought for bought $650,000 in late 2005. $0 down on the market since late 2005. Investor-owner moved in a few months ago after house sat empty for a while. Listed just below $720,000. Price is now $650,000. Never been refinanced yet. “Own” at least another house. All 100% financed. Every drop of equity HELOC’d out. Mortgage is ARM 6.5% resetting next summer.

    My take == > Investor who bought at the height last year are trying very hard to bail out, by offering their house at a small loss (may be he made some money on a previous flip!!). Likely to try to HELOC’d his way out of trouble but foreclosure is a few months off.

    QUESTION to all:

    What will be the impact of the wide use of no-money-down and HELOC loans by FB’s??

  13. bw
    October 9th, 2006 17:21
    13

    What will be the impact of the wide use of no-money-down and HELOC loans by FB’s??

    I think you have the answer to this question, already..

  14. Loonofficer
    October 11th, 2006 07:46
    14

    Excellent post, SoCal. I’ve been looking for information regarding the surge in these guru seminars for a while.

    jmf wrote: “it was just luck and a matter of timing.”

    threadkilla wrote: “what kills me in that story is the only people that seem to have “done it right” have so since 2002 or put another way during the biggest run up in RE prices in history.

    i wish we could check back with a few of those when the down side of RE really starts to surface.”

    Amen to that. One of my closest friends has accumulated 50 properties (yes 50) as a result of applying the Marshall Reddick principles (no flipping, buy and hold in new, developing areas) and he keeps prompting me to get in and get on with it. He started buying them in 2001….. again, perfect timing.He does not understand my reluctance to dive in right away (although I came near to purchasing in Austin, TX a few months back).
    I’m not jealous…. I’m delighted for him. all 50 homes rented out with modest positive cash flows (t and I accounted) I just think a lot of people whoget suckered into these seminars forget how important timing really is.
    I wholeheartedly believe that in about five years time it may well be possible to purchase investment properties and make positive cash flow. Right now I run the numbers and just don’t see it making any sense….. hold on to your cash now and buy more with 20% down when the homes are being given away is my take on it.

  15. Surveyor
    October 11th, 2006 08:40
    15

    Timing is certainly helpful and good, but not all areas of the country are on the same timing.

    Right now I am getting cash flows in Denver and some parts of Ohio. The other members of my real estate group are getting cash flows in Missouri, Tennessee, Idaho.

    Certainly the cycle in California, Florida, New York, and Nevada make it unwise to buy in these places right now.

  16. Lisa
    October 11th, 2006 11:12
    16

    LOS ANGELES (Sept. 25) – Home sales decreased 30.1 percent in August in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home increased 1.6 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

    Why are sales decreasing but the median price of a home continues to increase? Any thoughts?

  17. HARM
    November 14th, 2006 11:40
    17

    @Lisa,

    First off, I would take any number the CAR, NAR, NAHB or any other industry shill posts with a grain of salt.

    To give you some idea of the integrity of these groups, the CAR actually stopped reporting its HAI (Housing Affordability Index) last December when it hit an all-time low of 14%. No doubt it would have gone even lower in 2006, which is of course why they stopped reporting it. They then issued a “reformulated” HAI, which magically shot up to 23%. Read all the gory details here: http://patrick.net/wp/?p=285

    The fact that they’re even reporting such a large drop in sales is an indication that conditions on the street are far worse than they’re letting on. Don’t worry about the CAR’s bullshit “median” stat. Anyone who works in the industry wil tell you it’s already falling –and falling hard.

  18. Great boys
    February 1st, 2008 01:02
    18

    Hello people48d19e0bd8a3adb16ad1d6dee44a4f00

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